Shoppers Turn Out After Turkey, Sales Up 7 Percent
Lower hog prices are good for meat processor Hormel, but bad for meat producer Smithfield. Yonder 40 drops along with other indexes.
Buying hogs in Texas.
Remember the terrible Christmas shopping season that was supposed to begin the day after Thanksgiving? Well, Black Friday rolled around”¦and it wasn’t so terrible after all.
Teen singing sensation Hannah Montana junk was selling like teen junk has always sold. People were lapping up flat screen televisions and digital cameras, according to The Wall Street Journal. Analysts figured sales overall on Friday and Saturday were up more than 7 percent over last year’s two days after Thanksgiving. (Online sales were up more than 22 percent.)
Wal-Mart stock was still down a little more than a percent last week, but the results had to settle nerves among retailers, who were predicting a disastrous season. Still, it was a down week for the 40, the Yonder’s index of publicly traded companies that reflect the rural economy. Twenty-five of the 40 stocks were lower over Thanksgiving week, and the Yonder 40 as a whole was off by just over a percent in the four trading days.
Most of the losses in the week were moderate — except for RV manufacturer Fleetwood Enterprises, which made the Motley Fool’s “worst stocks in the world” list this week, after the company dropped 20 percent of its value. Fleetwood reached its 52 week low earlier in the week, recovering only slightly on Friday. There was no particular news that seemed to drive the company lower.
Farm-related stocks were all over the map. Deere & Co. reported net income that was up 52 percent over the fourth quarter of last year. Demand was strong for Deere’s farm equipment. (Caterpillar, meanwhile, issued a gloomier forecast.) The Wall Street Journal attributed Deere’s strength to increased demand for biofuels and a worldwide boom in agriculture. Deere was up 8 percent for the week.
Lower hog prices cut both ways with Yonder 40 companies. Meat processor Hormel Co. reported a 12 percent jump in earnings partially because of lower hog prices. Hormel predicted higher profits over the next year because the company expects live hog prices to decline more than 10 percent in ’08. Hormel’s stock price was up nearly 6 percent last week.
Meanwhile, meat producer Smithfield Foods predicted that lower hog prices would cut the company’s earnings. JPMorgan recently downgraded Smithfield stock, citing both higher feed prices and lower sale prices. Smithfield was down 4 percent.
All stock indexes dropped last week. (See chart.) The Yonder 40 is now down nearly 7 percent since July 1.
Below are the full results for the Yonder 40 stocks for the week ending November 23, 2007:
|Companies||Ticker||Price November 23||Price Change for Week||Percent Change for Week|
|Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp.||BNI||$82.45||-$3.37||-3.9%|
|Peabody Energy Corp.||BTU||$52.61||$0.20||0.4%|
|ConAgra Foods Inc.||CAG||$23.82||$0.05||0.2%|
|Cato Corp. Cl A||CTR||$19.85||$0.97||5.1%|
|Deere & Co.||DE||$156.64||$11.58||8.0%|
|Dean Foods Co.||DF||$24.71||$0.20||0.8%|
|Family Dollar Stores Inc.||FDO||$22.82||$0.69||3.1%|
|Fleetwood Enterprises Inc.||FLE||$6.05||-$1.51||-20.0%|
|Gaylord Entertainment Co.||GET||$40.43||-$2.55||-5.9%|
|International Speedway Corp.||ISCA||$43.00||-$0.52||-1.2%|
|Mohawk Industries Inc.||MHK||$79.00||$0.20||0.3%|
|Mine Safety Appliances Co.||MSA||$47.19||-$1.90||-3.9%|
|Plum Creek Timber REIT||PCL||$43.14||-$0.08||-0.2%|
|Penn Virginia Corp.||PVA||$45.68||-$0.65||-1.4%|
|Regions Financial Corp.||RF||$24.22||-$0.10||-0.4%|
|Sturm Ruger & Co.||RGR||$9.37||$0.64||7.3%|
|Stage Stores Inc.||SSI||$17.31||$0.49||2.9%|
|Tractor Supply Co.||TSCO||$39.70||$0.04||0.1%|
|Waddell & Reed Financial Inc.||WDR||$32.06||-$0.89||-2.7%|