Skills, Wages and Rural America
Charles Sprague Pearce Three economists say rural incomes are lower than those in the cities because more of the work available in rural areas is hands-on.
Rural residents on average have lower incomes than those employed in the cities. Three economists have figured out why — at least in part.
The economists, working through the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, conclude that the occupations found in rural areas require fewer skills than those found in the cities.
“We find that the occupation clusters most prevalent in urban areas — scientists, engineers, and executives — are characterized by high levels of social and resource-management skills, as well as the ability to generate ideas and solve complex problems,” write Jaison Abel, Todd Gabe and Kevin Stolarick.
“By contrast,” the continue, “the occupation clusters that are most prevalent in rural areas—machinists, makers, and laborers—are among the lowest in terms of required skills. These differences in the skill content of work shed light on the pattern of earnings observed across the urban-rural hierarchy.”
Their findings can be seen in the distribution of people with college education in this country. In 1970, college educated people were fairly evenly divided among counties. By 2010, however, there was a large difference in the percentage of college-educated adults who had college degree from county to county. http://www.dailyyonder.com/country-separating-education/2012/05/09/3994
That divergence became particularly evident in the gap between rural and urban counties. In 1970, there was only a six-point gap in the percentage of adults with a college degree in urban and rural counties. (In 1970, 5.7 percent of adults in rural counties had a college degree; in urban counties, it was 11.6 percent.)
By 2010, the gap was nearly 15 points — 30 percent in urban counties had college degrees compared to 15.4 percent of adults in rural America.
Abel, Gabe and Stolarick surmised that the jobs found in rural America simply demanded less formal education. They devised a way to measure skills in occupations and then measured how those skills were distributed from central cities to rural communities.
You can read about their methodology in the full report, here. http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr552.pdf
One of the “most striking” patterns they found was that “the most urbanized areas of the United States — City Centers — tend to specialize in the skills-based clusters of Scientists, Technicians, Engineers, and Executives.”
As the economists moved away from central cities, however, communities “tend to specialize in the skills-based clusters of Machinists and Makers, which include ‘hands-on’ occupations in the construction trades, production and assembly, and maintenance and repair, and to a lesser extent in the skills-based cluster of Laborers.” These occupations require fewer skills, as measured by the economists.
“It is particularly interesting to note the absence of social skills — e.g., coordination, persuasion, and negotiation — in the most rural areas, which are places where extensive interaction and face-to-face contact are hindered by the obstacles of isolation and distance,” the economists write. “Perhaps not surprisingly, we also see that rural areas tend to be under-represented in the clusters with the highest skills requirements, such as Engineers, Executives, Scientists, and Analysts.”
Jaison Abel, Todd Gabe and Kevin Stolarick The economists devised this chart to show the difference in income by skill and location. The occupations run back to front, with the least skilled jobs (laborers) in the front. Communities are ranked 1 to 10, with 1 being the most urban and 10 being the most rural. You can see that as skills increase, so do wages. And, reading the rows left to right, you can see that for each occupational group, wages decline as the community becomes more rural.
Compensation favors these city occupations, the economists find. Executives earn the most in the cities, far more than engineers or scientists. Executives living in rural areas don’t earn the same premium.
In fact, for each high skill occupation, wages fell as the community became more rural. Every occupational group had lower wages in rural areas than in cities, but the rural penalty was higher among the most skilled jobs.
The economists write that there is something about urban areas that facilitate high-skilled employment and earns it higher wages. They describe it this way: “In particular, the dimensions of social and complex problem solving skills are apt to benefit from the flows of ideas and knowledge that are facilitated by dense urban environments.”
Their findings may help explain why young people with college degrees are reluctant to move back to rural communities. Jobs in those communities simply do not pay what can be earned in central cities.
The paper, however, does not fully explain why there should be a steady decline in wages for the same skill sets as communities become more rural.
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Comments
Fewer skills or different skills?
It's good to see a write-up of this study, although I think we also need to be critical of its assumptions. I am not convinced that the job of machinist, maker, or even laborer requires a lower level of skill than the professions: rather, these jobs require skills that are less highly regarded and more taken for granted in the era of postindustrial finance capitalism. Many of these jobs have also been deskilled over time in order to standardize output and enhance managerial control.
The rural-urban wage gap is an important topic of study, and Abel, Gabe, and Stolarick deserve credit for tackling it. But just because work is invisible doesn't mean that it's easy; if anything, the prevailing ideology that rural work is low-skill almost certainly contributes to the wage differential that's being studied.
Old Wine, New Bottle
It's very interesting to see the old notion of urban agglomeration economies quantified so graphically by the authors. The differential in earnings, by skill and by location (i.e. urban vs. rural) does indeed reflect the age-old disparity between labor and capital. However, the differential is also a function of the relative scale, complexity, and magnitude of organization made possible within increasingly populous locales, as well as the need to pay higher wages to urban workers owing to the higher cost of living. The disparity in post-secondary education levels would also seem related to this agglomeration effect, where those with a higher level of educational attainment (and encumbered with college loans) move to cities in search of the jobs that match the skills they've worked so hard and borrowed so much to acquire. As the saying goes, the jobs are where the people are, and the people go where the jobs are.
Mystified
It mystifies me that economists, who allege to understand macroeconomic and labor market dynamics, would fail to note how industrialization, globalization, shifts in capital, and neo-liberal economic policy have conspired to decimate and depopulate rural communities in favor of cities.
It's simplistic to suggest that high-skill jobs tend to cluster in cities, which reduces incentives for rural people to attain postsecondary degrees--as if these were ahistorical circumstances. It's downright insulting to suggest that "complex problem solving skills" emerge from some magic in the urban soup. Because if study authors think that farm management, or survival in under-resourced and isolated communities, doesn't require "complex problem solving," then they haven't really thought about what "complex problem solving" means.
work
This study does tells us how work is valued in this culture. I think about plumbers figuring out how to fix an old house or our rancher cousins juggling the thousands of different factors that go into their business and it all seems infinitely more complex than most other job. It just doesn't get the pay.....
Assumptions by Fed Economists vs.Recent History
All economic analysis is based on assumptions. In the case of this article by these economists, the assumptions are that skilled labor (undefined) gets more money in the economy because they are skilled.
Their assumptions do not take in known facts.
Most rural economies are limited by the amount of money they can generate. Industrial agriculture has developed models where they capture much of these resources by not following the rules on the book and extract wealth from rural communities through abuse of market power. Globalization means (most corn farmers will feel this one this year) that their goods compete with global products which can be heavily subsidized. One of the best moves for corn farmers was the move away from a model where these factors (domestic livestock feed demand) were the main influences of their prices and one where their corn could be substituted for energy where they could get a higher price. It was competition working for them instead of against them. Industrial meat production once tipped the scales to lower farm prices thanks to the political inluence of the modern day oligarchs paying off politicians. In the corn market, at least politicians were able to change the assumption that corn was solely based on the value of what industrial meat producers could demand and inflruence with their market power.
One must understand that Federal Reserve Economists might be considered well educated and well skilled but they were, in part, the reason why our economy has had the largest stumble since the Great Depression. Maybe we should be not assume that greater skills give greater results. In the case of the Fed, we have seen just the opposite. The best economists at the Fed work for the financial industry, not main street. Recent history has shown this to be the case. We are having a problem with the efficient allocation of resources. Continuing to pay Fed economists to ignore the economic conditions forced on them and instead focusing on skills just plays to the oligarchs. The rich get richer and those with "skills" justifiy it with their assumptions that are way off base. It is part of the mistaken theory that people get paid more because of their skills and production. It isn't necessarily so as many skilled Americans are finding out in this recession.
TomT
Love it
Thanks, Tom T.......