• 05/05/2008
    New York Times artist Campbell Robertson is doing cartoons from the primary states. This one looks at the tension between the fast-growing city of Asheville and Burnsville, N.C.

    In the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, nearly six out of ten voters lived in communities where the contest between Sen. Hillary Clinton and Sen. Barack Obama wasn't close at all. Most voters in that hotly contested primary lived in counties where either Obama or Clinton won by more than 20 percentage points — an electoral blowout.

    Clinton won 49 of Pennsylvania's 67 counties by 20 percentage points or more; most of these counties were smaller and populated by white voters. Thirty-nine of these landslide Clinton counties were in rural or exurban Pennsylvania. Obama won only two counties by a landslide, but one was Philadelphia, the most inner-city county of a massive metro region.

    Pennsylvania wasn't a special case in the long-running contest between Clinton and Obama. Supporters of the two candidates not only vote separately, they live separately.

    The stark geographic and racial division between Clinton and Obama "is unnerving core constituencies -- African Americans and wealthy liberals -- who are becoming convinced that the party could suffer irreversible harm if Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton maintains her sharp line of attack against Sen. Barack Obama," the Washington Post reported in late April. The "quandry for the party," according to the Post, was that Clinton might be the better candidate to win the white, working-class (and rural?) vote, but her nomination may irreparably divide the party.

    This geographic and racial rift didn't happen suddenly, a division caused by Obama's discussion of small town bitterness or the sermons of Rev. Jeremiah Wright. Supporters of Obama and Clinton have come from entirely different communities at least since the Super Tuesday contests on February 5th, according to a Daily Yonder analysis.

  • 04/23/2008

    Sen. Hillary Clinton won across Pennsylvania in the state's Democratic presidential primary Tuesday, but she built her ten percentage point margin in rural and exurban communities in an election that revealed an incredibly polarized Democratic electorate.

    Clinton defeated Sen. Barack Obama by ten points statewide, 55 percent to 45 percent. The race was much tighter in Pennsylvania's urban counties, where Clinton won by just four points, 52 percent to 48 percent.

    In the state's 46 rural and exurban counties, however, Sen. Clinton rolled up 32-point margins over Sen. Obama, winning those counties by an average of 66 percent to 34 percent.

    Rural and exurban voters made up only 26 percent of the state's population, but their votes accounted for two-thirds of Clinton's margin of victory.

    Clinton and Obama captured their votes in two different Pennsylvanias, just as the two senators split Ohio and Texas. Only, in Pennsylvania, the geographic polarization was more pronounced.

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