Monday, July 27, 2015

The Presidential Vote, State By State


There are still a few votes uncounted, but we wanted to bring you a state by state accounting of the presidential contest.

Below is a chart showing the vote in the rural, urban and exurban counties in each state. Rural counties are nonmetropolitan, according to the Census. Urban counties are metropolitan. Exurban counties are metropolitan but they have about half their residents living in rural settings.

Click on the chart to see a larger version.

The most Democratic rural residents are in Hawaii, Vermont and Massachusetts. The most Republican are in Utah.

Also, notice that the Republican vote in exurban counties is nearly always higher than in rural counties.

Okay, here's the chart.


big differences someplaces

This breakdown shows that in 23 states, urban voters chose one presidential candidate and rural voters chose another (AR,CA,CO, DE, FL,GA, IA, IL, MD, MI, MN, MO, NC, NH, NM, NV, NY, OH, OR, PA, SC, VA, WA).

In two of these states, New Hampshire and South Carolina, rural voters preferred Obama, while the majority of the urban vote went for Romney. In the other 21, Romney took rural and Obama won the urban vote.

In five states, the discrepancy between the rural and urban vote results was 20 percentage points or more, suggesting major political differences between city and country in Delaware, Illinois, Missouri, Nevada, and Oregon.

Romey had his strongest rural support in Utah (82.3% of rural voters); Obama's greatest rural turnout was in Hawaii, where he took 74.1%.

In Wisconsin the rural vote was evenly divided between President Obama and Mitt Romney (49.4%). Rural voters were nearly evenly divided in South Carolina and New Mexico also.