The median age of most every U.S. county is growing older. But rural counties have the oldest median age — and the gap between rural and urban counties is growing.
Not only is the world population growing, it’s graying.
The United Nations reported last fall that the world’s population reached 7 billion people. But at the same time, fertility rates are dropping globally while the baby-boomer generation is growing older each year.
According to some economists, this aging of the population poses real economic threats. In fact, some argue that Europe’s current crisis is not only financial but also demographic, since economic growth is harder to achieve due to a decline in the number of young adults entering the labor force.
A New York Times columnist argues that the world is experiencing a “fertility implosion” and that “young people are [in the 21st century] the scarce resource.”
How is the U.S. population — especially America’s rural counties — faring in terms of age?
The graph above shows that the median age increased in all types of counties between 2000 and 2010: metropolitan counties (those in cities), rural counties and counties with small cities (between 10,000 and 50,000 people).
However, the biggest increase (3.6 years on average) occurred in rural counties — from an average median age of 39.0 years in 2000 to 42.5 years in 2010.
The average median age gap between metropolitan and rural counties increased from 3.1 years in 2000 to 4.2 years in 2010. In other words, rural counties are aging faster on average than their metropolitan counterparts.
Is “graying” taking place at a similar pace or at varying rates across the country? To help answer this question, all 3114 counties were divided into four equal groups based on the change in median age between 2000 and 2010.
In the map, the lighter the blue, the smaller the increase in median age. (There were some counties that had a decline in median age.) Click on the map to see a larger version.
Counties whose median age declined or increased by less than two years between 2000 and 2010 are highlighted in the map as light blue. California, Colorado, Florida, Oklahoma, and Texas had a significant number of light blue counties.
Counties in dark blue experienced an increase in their median age in the range of four years up to 13 years between 2000 and 2010. Dark blue pockets are most visible in such states as Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, and Michigan.
The table below shows the top 25 “oldest” counties in the nation in descending order based on their 2010 median age. Sumter County in Florida had a median age of 62.7 years in 2010 up from 49.2 in 2000. One of the largest retirement communities in the nation is located in Sumter County.
Note that the majority of “grayer” counties (24 of the 25 counties) are rural or have small cities.
On the other hand, the table below showcases the top 25 “youngest” counties in the nation in descending order based on their 2010 median age. Wade Hampton in Alaska was the “youngest” county in the nation in 2010 with a median age of 21.9 (up from 20.0 in 2000).
Only 8 of the 25 counties are rural; 10 are small city counties; and the rest are metropolitan counties. [img:youngestcounties.gif]
Roberto Gallardo is a Assistant Extension Professor and Community & Economic Development Specialist at Mississippi State University’s Southern Rural Development. Bo Beaulieu is director of the Southern Rural Development Center. Monica Rosas is a Research Associate at the Social Science Research Center at Mississippi State.